Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.849399 1.070373 1.316376 1.607739 1.940613 2.306383 2.735982
2025-08-03 0.518080 0.790254 1.130566 1.574451 2.125456 2.774971 3.586262
2025-08-10 0.330492 0.616231 1.016979 1.587182 2.345783 3.290648 4.526168
2025-08-17 0.196538 0.462785 0.885760 1.541716 2.472129 3.688287 5.340929
2025-08-24 0.133406 0.391899 0.850274 1.612459 2.747635 4.284588 6.430613
2025-08-31 0.082020 0.315016 0.782353 1.617510 2.922330 4.748676 7.363203
2025-09-07 0.057369 0.280608 0.776645 1.713732 3.230263 5.403854 8.570112
2025-09-14 0.037495 0.243519 0.754656 1.775812 3.485652 5.991702 9.701589
2025-09-21 0.022257 0.205115 0.718003 1.803877 3.684892 6.502425 10.738251
2025-09-28 0.010690 0.162055 0.656195 1.774208 3.784405 6.866252 11.575173
2025-10-05 0.005406 0.137437 0.629817 1.805663 3.982287 7.379008 12.632665
2025-10-12 0.002244 0.114461 0.598906 1.821818 4.151867 7.851244 13.640282
2025-10-19 0.000436 0.086601 0.542346 1.778020 4.217974 8.173471 14.450202
2025-10-26 0.000015 0.064434 0.491132 1.736180 4.282445 8.493685 15.264863
2025-11-02 NaN 0.051436 0.465063 1.746660 4.440960 8.966147 16.315300
2025-11-09 NaN 0.036302 0.417653 1.696529 4.480621 9.246699 17.082516
2025-11-16 NaN 0.032212 0.419914 1.771233 4.761882 9.927080 18.467013
2025-11-23 NaN 0.024745 0.397106 1.776207 4.906325 10.385202 19.520523
2025-11-30 NaN 0.023249 0.409678 1.878545 5.247738 11.177764 21.099613
2025-12-07 NaN 0.020211 0.409346 1.944533 5.518521 11.857742 22.515422
2025-12-14 NaN 0.016179 0.397060 1.974342 5.716559 12.419152 23.756008
2025-12-21 NaN 0.011005 0.365859 1.942739 5.785451 12.762010 24.661059
2025-12-28 NaN 0.008637 0.356663 1.976197 5.990581 13.341076 25.943140